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Sudarshan    


Mumbai, India

Read Business Not Stock Prices Co-Founder of a financial platform focused on equity research which has overall network of 50k investors. Have exposed multiple corporate governance issues in financial market encompassing from smallcaps to largecaps. Everything about some stocks, something about every stock

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MANAP FIN

Comments: 0 | Likes: 0 | Current Price: ₹ 181.03


Manappuram Finance Fundamental Analysis : Resilience, Expansion, and Promising Prospects

Manappuram Finance, a leading player in the gold loan and non-banking financial sector, has shown significant resilience and adaptability in its operations. Despite facing challenges like increased competition in the gold loan sector and exposure to gold price fluctuations, the company has managed to maintain a healthy profitability. Moreover, the company's diversification efforts into vehicle finance, corporate loans, microfinance, and housing finance through its subsidiaries have expanded its portfolio and mitigated risk concentration. Manappuram Finance has improved its asset quality, reduced non-performing assets, and enhanced its risk management systems. Its strong capitalization and liquidity positions provide stability and room for growth. With growing promoter confidence, institutional investor interest, and a positive narrative surrounding the company's financial statements and shareholding pattern, Manappuram Finance appears well-positioned for a turnaround. Its commitment to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) initiatives further reinforces its commitment to responsible business practices. Overall, Manappuram Finance seems poised to overcome challenges and continue its journey towards sustained growth and success in the financial services industry.


Introduction

Manappuram Finance Ltd (MGFL) is a prominent financial services company headquartered in Valapad, Kerala, India. Established in 1949, the company has transformed over the decades, offering a wide range of financial products and services. Its core focus lies in gold loans, making it a key player in this segment. This comprehensive stock analysis delves into MGFL, exploring its various business segments, financial performance, recent investor meetings, and a detailed valuation analysis.

Company Overview

MGFL operates across diverse sectors within the financial services industry, catering to a broad spectrum of customer needs. Here is an overview of its key business segments:

  1. Gold Loans: MGFL's primary business involves providing gold loans, where customers pledge their gold jewelry and ornaments as collateral in exchange for loans. This segment constitutes a substantial part of the company's revenue and serves as its flagship business.

  2. Microfinance (MFI): MGFL operates in the microfinance sector through its subsidiary, Asirvad Microfinance Limited. Asirvad offers microloans to economically disadvantaged individuals, primarily in rural areas, supporting income-generating activities and improving their quality of life.

  3. Vehicle Finance: The company provides financing solutions for various types of vehicles, including two-wheelers and used vehicles. This segment caters to both urban and rural customers, contributing to MGFL's diversified portfolio.

  4. Home Finance: MGFL offers affordable home loans, primarily in Tier 3 and Tier 4 cities. The focus is on self-employed non-professionals and informal salaried customers. Risk mitigation strategies include lower loan-to-value ratios and local understanding of profiles.

  5. MSME and Allied Products: This segment encompasses a range of financial products, including loans to nurses and doctors, teacher loans, loans to food processing units, and secured personal loans. MGFL actively explores tie-ups and co-lending arrangements in this space.

Recent Investor Meeting Takeaways

MGFL recently conducted an analyst/investor meet where the senior management presented the company's capabilities and outlook. Here are key takeaways from the meeting:

  • Gold Loans: MGFL expects steady 8-10% growth in gold loans. They prioritize maintaining gold loan yields in the range of 21-22% over pursuing higher loan growth at lower yields.

  • Microfinance (MFI): Despite rural challenges, Asirvad, MGFL's MFI arm, has not shown any deterioration in asset quality. It boasts an AA- rating from credit rating agencies and offers diversified geographical spread.

  • Vehicle Finance: After a slowdown during the pandemic, the vehicle finance business has rebounded. MGFL is actively seeking partnerships with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to expand its presence.

  • Home Finance: MGFL offers affordable home loans in Tier 3 and 4 cities. Risk mitigation strategies include lower loan-to-value ratios and decentralized underwriting.

  • MSME and Allied Products: MGFL operates across various sub-products within this segment. The average tenor is 5-6 years, with low credit costs and bounce rates.

Financial Performance

Understanding MGFL's financial performance is essential to assess its growth trajectory and profitability. The financial data presented is based on available information up to FY23.

  • Revenue Growth: MGFL has experienced consistent revenue growth over the years, driven by its diversified portfolio. The primary revenue stream comprises interest income from loans, fees, and other financial services.

  • Profitability: The company has maintained a healthy level of profitability. Net profit margins have remained stable, reflecting effective cost management and a balanced risk approach.

  • Asset Quality: MGFL has been cautious about asset quality. In its microfinance and other lending segments, it has managed to maintain low non-performing asset (NPA) levels, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.

  • Loan Book Growth: The loan book has consistently expanded, primarily fueled by the gold loans segment. MGFL's strategy to diversify into non-gold segments aims to reduce dependence on this singular revenue source.

  • Return on Equity (RoE): MGFL's RoE has been in line with industry standards, reflecting its prudent approach to capital allocation and risk management.

Detailed Valuation Analysis

Valuation is a critical aspect of stock analysis. To evaluate MGFL's valuation, several key metrics are considered:

  1. Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's market price per share to its earnings per share (EPS). MGFL's P/E ratio indicates the market's perception of its future earnings potential. A lower P/E ratio might suggest an undervalued stock, while a higher P/E ratio may indicate growth expectations.

  2. Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: The P/B ratio compares the company's market capitalization to its book value. A P/B ratio below 1 could suggest an undervalued stock, while a ratio above 1 may indicate that the market values the company's assets at a premium.

  3. Dividend Yield: Dividend yield is the annual dividend payment per share divided by the stock's market price. It indicates the return on investment through dividends. A higher dividend yield may be attractive to income-focused investors.

  4. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: DCF analysis involves estimating the present value of future cash flows generated by the company. It considers factors like revenue growth, operating margins, and the cost of capital. DCF analysis provides an intrinsic value estimate.

  5. Comparative Analysis: Comparing MGFL's valuation metrics to industry peers and benchmark indices can provide insights into whether the stock is overvalued or undervalued relative to its peers.

 

Key Strengths

1. Long Track Record and Established Market Position

  • Manappuram Finance Ltd (MAFIL) boasts a distinguished history of more than 25 years of operations in the gold loan financing segment.
  • The company has successfully established a robust brand image in the market and is recognized as one of the largest gold loan Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India.
  • MAFIL has significantly enhanced brand recall among customers through consistent advertising and branding efforts.
  • Beyond gold loans, the company has diversified into vehicle finance, corporate loans to NBFCs, and Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSME) segments.
  • MAFIL has expanded into microfinance and housing finance segments through its subsidiaries, namely, Asirvad Microfinance Limited (AMFL) and Manappuram Home Finance Private Limited (MHFL), both of which have received favorable ratings.
  • As of March 31, 2023, MAFIL's consolidated presence includes 5,232 branches spread across India, with Assets Under Management (AUM) amounting to ₹35,452 crore.

2. Experienced Promoters and Management Team

  • The promoters of MAFIL have a rich legacy in the gold loan business, spanning over six decades.
  • The business was initially founded by V. C. Padmanabhan in 1949, and in 1986, V. P. Nandakumar assumed control.
  • MAFIL was incorporated in 1992, with a strategic vision to expand the group's presence in the gold loan sector by establishing branches across India.
  • The company's day-to-day operations are managed by a team of seasoned professionals, overseen by a board consisting of ten directors, including seven independent directors with extensive expertise in the NBFC sector.

3. Healthy Profitability

  • During FY23, MAFIL's consolidated Assets Under Management (AUM) grew by 17%, notably driven by significant growth in the non-gold loan segment.
  • The non-gold loan portfolio experienced impressive growth, expanding by 56% during FY23, based on AUM, while the gold loan portfolio saw a marginal reduction of 2% in FY23, AUM-wise, primarily due to fluctuations in the price of gold.
  • Despite competitive pressure from banks in the gold loan segment, the company reported a Profit After Tax (PAT) of ₹1,500 crore on a total income of ₹6,750 crore during FY23, as compared to a PAT of ₹1,329 crore on total income of ₹6,126 crore in FY22.
  • While the yield declined from 20.57% in FY22 to 19.20% in FY23, the Net Interest Margin (NIM) remained healthy at 11.72% in FY23, though slightly lower than 11.84% in FY22.
  • Operating expenses (Opex) increased from 5.71% in FY22 to 6.08% in FY23, primarily due to branch expansion in subsidiaries and an increase in the workforce.
  • Credit costs improved significantly from 1.50% in FY22 to 0.84% in FY23, with notable improvements observed in the microfinance segment.
  • Consequently, the Return on Total Assets (ROTA) stood at 4.12% in FY23, compared to 4.11% in FY22.
  • For Q1FY24, MAFIL (consolidated) reported a PAT of ₹498 crore on a total income of ₹2,057 crore.

4. Good Asset Quality with Improvement in FY23

  • Thanks to the secured nature and shorter tenure of gold loans, coupled with timely auctions, MAFIL has successfully maintained a comfortable level of asset quality in its gold loan book.
  • As of March 31, 2023, MAFIL (standalone) reported Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) and Net Non-Performing Assets (NNPA) of 1.33% and 1.15%, respectively, which marked a significant improvement from GNPA and NNPA figures of 2.95% and 2.72%, respectively, as of March 31, 2022.
  • The company's restructured portfolio outstanding stood at ₹18.3 crore as of March 31, 2023, down from ₹61.8 crore as of March 31, 2022.
  • GNPA and NNPA as of June 30, 2023, were reported at 1.45% and 1.24%, respectively.
  • While MAFIL has demonstrated robust asset quality in gold loans, its performance in the vehicle finance, housing finance, and microfinance segments, where it has limited track records, is yet to be established. CARE Ratings expects asset quality to remain stable in the medium term with improvements in the non-gold portfolio.

5. Comfortable Capitalization Levels

  • MAFIL maintains a comfortable level of capitalization, supported by healthy internal accruals.
  • As of March 31, 2023, the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) and Tier-1 CAR were reported at 31.70%, compared to figures of 31.33% and 31.01%, respectively, as of March 31, 2022.
  • The overall gearing (consolidated) as of March 31, 2023, stood at 3.09x, showing a slight increase from 3.06x as of March 31, 2022.
  • As of June 30, 2023, CAR stood at 30.50%.
  • CARE Ratings expects CAR to remain at comfortable levels in the future, considering the company's robust accruals.

6. Adequate Risk Management and Management Information Systems

  • MAFIL has implemented rigorous risk management systems to ensure the safety and security of its gold loan portfolio.
  • Employees at branches are well-trained to evaluate gold jewelry provided as collateral by prospective borrowers.
  • The company has taken steps to enhance gold security and minimize custodial risks, including the use of highly-secured vaults with dual control and insurance coverage for gold.
  • Surveillance cameras are installed in all branches to monitor activities.
  • The core gold loan application software, developed in-house by MAFIL, is used across branches and integrated with financial software.
  • The interconnectedness of branches enables real-time monitoring, and the company has also introduced an app-based (web and mobile) application for re-pledge and closure of gold loans.
  • Adequate Information Technology (IT) infrastructure and Management Information System (MIS) ensure seamless operations and provide senior management with effective control over operations.

7. Diversified Resource Profile

  • MAFIL (Consolidated) maintains a well-diversified funding profile, accessing funds from banks and market instruments, including Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) and Commercial Papers (CPs).
  • As of March 31, 2023, the funding profile comprised bank borrowings in the form of term loans and CC, accounting for 75.5% of total borrowings, followed by NCDs at 23.4%, and External Commercial Borrowings (ECB) at 1.1%.
  • The company managed to reduce interest expenses to average borrowings from 8.32% in FY22 to 8.10% in FY23.
  • CARE Ratings anticipates continued access to a diversified lender profile in the medium term.

In conclusion, Manappuram Finance Ltd (MAFIL) possesses several key strengths that position it as a significant player in the financial services sector. Its long track record, experienced management team, healthy profitability, good asset quality, comfortable capitalization levels, robust risk management systems, and diversified funding sources all contribute to its stability and growth potential. However, as with any investment, it is crucial for investors to conduct thorough due diligence, considering the company's growth prospects, associated risks, and prevailing market conditions before making investment decisions in MAFIL.

Key Weaknesses

1. Exposure to Price Risk of Gold and Increasing Competition from Banks in the Gold Loan Business

  • As of March 31, 2023, gold loans comprised approximately 78% of MAFIL's Assets Under Management (AUM), down from 89% as of March 31, 2022, on a standalone level.
  • Loans with a tenure of more than 6 months increased significantly from 9% as of March 31, 2022, to 20% as of March 31, 2023, and further to 71% as of June 30, 2023. This exposes the company to the price risk of gold.
  • The ability of the company to effectively manage auction losses remains a critical area to monitor.
  • Banks have increasingly focused on gold jewelry loans, as per the sectoral deployment of credit by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Gold jewelry loans extended by banks grew from ₹33,503 crore as of March 27, 2020, to ₹88,428 crore as of March 24, 2023.
  • MAFIL experienced a decline in the tonnage of gold holdings (underlying security), reducing from 68.0 tonnes as of March 31, 2022, to 60.1 tonnes as of March 31, 2023.
  • The quantum of loans with a ticket size above ₹2 lakh increased from ₹6,575 crore as of March 31, 2022, to ₹6,629 crore as of March 31, 2023, resulting in declining yields due to heightened competition.
  • The ability of MAFIL to attract new customers is crucial for AUM growth and remains a key area to monitor.

2. Geographical Concentration of Gold Loans

  • While MAFIL has a PAN-India presence with 5,232 branches as of March 31, 2023, the southern states continue to account for a significant portion of the gold loan portfolio, constituting around 56% of the total gold loan portfolio as of March 31, 2023.

3. Challenges Associated with Non-Gold Segments

  • MAFIL diversified into various segments as part of its strategy. These include vehicle finance, corporate loans to NBFCs, MSME loans, and other loan segments such as two-wheeler and micro home loans.
  • While the vehicle finance AUM increased to ₹2,585 crore as of June 30, 2023, and the corporate loan portfolio expanded to ₹1,005 crore as of March 31, 2023, these segments have limited track records and seasoning.
  • The microfinance sector, particularly within the subsidiary Asirvad Microfinance Ltd (AMFL), is exposed to inherent risks, including socio-political intervention risk, risks from unsecured lending, and the vulnerability of borrowers to economic downturns.

4. Liquidity

  • MAFIL maintains an adequate liquidity profile with healthy internal accruals and access to both short-term and long-term funds.
  • There is a cumulative mismatch in the 3-6 month bucket in Asset Liability Management (ALM) as of June 30, 2023, mainly due to the maturity of shorter-tenure borrowings shown in outflows. However, this cumulative mismatch can potentially be offset by the company's unutilized lines of credit and prepayment of loans.
  • As of March 31, 2023, the company held a cash and bank balance of ₹2,080 crore on a standalone basis and had unutilized lines of credit amounting to ₹1,008 crore.

5. Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) Risks

  • While MAFIL has initiated measures to enhance energy efficiency and promote renewable energy, it is exposed to ESG risks, including climate change impacts.
  • The company conducts scenario analysis to prepare for risks arising from climate change in units like agriculture, commercial vehicle finance, and microfinance.
  • In terms of social factors, the company focuses on financial inclusion and customer relationship management.
  • Governance practices prioritize risk management, transparency, and adherence to regulatory compliance.

These key weaknesses highlight potential areas of concern and risk for Manappuram Finance Ltd (MAFIL). It is important for investors and stakeholders to closely monitor these weaknesses and assess how the company addresses them in its strategic planning and risk management processes. Additionally, MAFIL's ability to diversify its portfolio effectively and adapt to changing market dynamics, especially in the face of increasing competition and price volatility in the gold loan business, will be crucial for its long-term sustainability and growth.

Financial Analysis

Profit and Loss Statement for Manappuram Finance:

  1. Manappuram Finance has consistently delivered robust financial performance, with steady revenue growth over the years.

  2. The company's Profit and Loss Statement reflects its ability to generate healthy profits, with a positive trend in net income.

  3. Manappuram Finance's strong profitability is a testament to its efficient operations and effective management of assets.

  4. The company's earnings have shown resilience, even in challenging economic conditions, highlighting its stability and resilience.

  5. Manappuram Finance's diversified revenue streams contribute to a balanced and sustainable income statement.

Balance Sheet for Manappuram Finance:

  1. Manappuram Finance boasts a strong and well-structured balance sheet, underpinned by substantial assets.

  2. The company's Balance Sheet showcases a healthy mix of assets, including gold loans, which is a significant contributor to its financial strength.

  3. Manappuram Finance's balance sheet reflects prudent financial management, with a focus on maintaining liquidity and capital adequacy.

  4. The company's robust equity base and prudent debt management contribute to its financial stability.

  5. The Balance Sheet positions Manappuram Finance as a financially sound institution capable of withstanding market fluctuations.

Cash Flow Statement for Manappuram Finance:

  1. Manappuram Finance's Cash Flow Statement demonstrates strong cash generation from its core operations, supporting its growth initiatives.

  2. The company's positive operating cash flows underscore its ability to convert profits into cash effectively.

  3. Manappuram Finance's cash flow from financing activities reflects its access to diverse funding sources, ensuring liquidity.

  4. The company's prudent cash management practices have enabled it to build cash reserves, strengthening its financial position.

  5. The Cash Flow Statement exemplifies Manappuram Finance's commitment to maintaining a healthy cash position, essential for long-term sustainability.






Manappuram Finance Shareholding Pattern:

  1. The increasing stake of promoters in Manappuram Finance reflects their unwavering commitment to the company's long-term growth and success.

  2. Promoters' higher ownership in the company underscores their confidence in its business model and future prospects.

  3. The growing participation of institutional investors in Manappuram Finance is a testament to the company's strong fundamentals and its attractiveness as an investment opportunity.

  4. Institutional investors' increased stake signifies their trust in the company's management and their alignment with its strategic vision.

  5. Manappuram Finance's evolving shareholding pattern paints a positive picture of investor sentiment, highlighting its position as a preferred investment choice in the financial sector.





Conclusion

Manappuram Finance Ltd is a well-established financial services company with a diversified portfolio spanning gold loans, microfinance, vehicle finance, home finance, and MSME lending. The recent investor meet highlighted its commitment to maintaining asset quality, expanding into non-gold segments, and leveraging technology for informed credit decisions.

Financially, MGFL has demonstrated consistent revenue growth and profitability. It is essential to consider valuation metrics such as P/E ratio, P/B ratio, and DCF analysis to assess whether the stock is attractively priced.

Investors should weigh the company's growth potential, risk factors, and market conditions before making investment decisions. MGFL's proactive approach to diversification and its commitment to maintaining asset quality position it as an interesting player in the financial services sector. However, like all investments, it carries inherent risks, and investors should conduct thorough due diligence before investing in MGFL.


Opinion

Manappuram Finance Ltd. stands out as a remarkable example of success and resilience in the Indian financial sector. Known primarily for its gold loan services, Manappuram Finance has diversified its portfolio over the years, expanding into other areas like microfinance, vehicle loans, and housing finance, which showcases the company's adaptability and foresight in a dynamic financial landscape.

The company's commitment to leveraging technology for enhanced customer service is notable. Their digital initiatives, aimed at simplifying and securing loan processes, have not only improved customer experience but also streamlined their operations, boosting efficiency and reducing costs.

Furthermore, Manappuram Finance's consistent financial performance is a testament to its robust business model and prudent management. The company has demonstrated a strong track record of profitability, underpinned by solid revenue growth and effective risk management strategies. This financial stability has earned the trust of investors and customers alike.

The company's social responsibility efforts also deserve mention. Manappuram Finance is actively involved in various community service and sustainability initiatives, reflecting its commitment to social welfare and environmental stewardship.

In summary, Manappuram Finance's journey reflects a blend of innovative service offerings, technological advancement, strong financial performance, and a commitment to social responsibility, positioning it as a notable and respected entity in India's financial sector.

 

Disclosure:

I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Business relationship disclosure:

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Stocx Research Club). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Disclosure legality:

I am not a SEBI Registered individual/entity and the above research article is only for educational purpose and is never intended as trading/investment advice.

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